Academic Publications
- "Understanding Long-run Price Dispersion"
(with
Mario J. Crucini) Journal of
Monetary Economics
Blog Post
Summary
Slides
Published Version
NBER Working Paper Version #1
NBER
Working Paper Version #2
- "Gains
from Trade: Does Sectoral Heterogeneity Matter?"
(with Rahul Giri and
Kei-Mu Yi) Journal of International
Economics
Blog
Post
Published Version
NBER Working Paper Version
- "Understanding
Interstate Trade Patterns" Journal of
International Economics
Blog Post
Summary
Slides
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Early 20th Century
American Exceptionalism: Production, Trade and Diffusion of the
Automobile" (with Dong Cheng, Mario J. Crucini,
Hyunseung Oh) Journal of International
Economics
VOX Column
Media
Coverage
Published Version
NBER
Working Paper Version
- "Gasoline
Prices,
Transport Costs, and the U.S.
Business Cycles" Journal
of Economic Dynamics and Control
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "What
Explains Global Inflation"
(with Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge) IMF Economic Review
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Tariffs, Inflation and Monetary Policy: Implications for Welfare" (with Renzo Alvarez) Journal of International
Money and Finance
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Diminishing
Gains from Trade across Countries: Interaction between Trade Elasticity
and Openness" Journal of International
Money and Finance
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Accounting
for Trade Deficits" Journal of
International Money and Finance
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Oil
Price Pass-Through into Consumer Prices: Evidence from U.S. Weekly Data"
Journal of International
Money and Finance
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Inflation
and Exchange Rate Pass-Through"
(with Jongrim Ha and Marc Stocker) Journal of International
Money and Finance
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "The Impact of China’s
Fiscal and Monetary Policy Responses to the Great Recession: An
Analysis of Firm-Level Chinese Data" (with Wenjun Xue and
Jason Taylor) Journal of
International Money and Finance
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Geopolitical
Risks and Energy Uncertainty: Implications for Global and Domestic
Energy Prices" Energy Economics
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Understanding
the Global Drivers of Inflation: How Important are Oil Prices?"
(with Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge) Energy Economics
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Energy
Price Shocks and Current Account Balances: Evidence from Emerging
Market and Developing Economies" (with Mathilde Lebrand
and Garima Vasishtha) Energy Economics
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Thresholds in the
Finance-Growth Nexus: A Cross-Country Analysis" World Bank
Economic Review
Blog
Post
Summary
Slides
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Trade
and Cities" (with Cem Karayalcin) World Bank
Economic Review
Blog Post
Summary
Slides
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Understanding
the International Elasticity Puzzle" Journal of Macroeconomics
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Trade
Partner Diversification and Growth: How Trade Links Matter"
(with Ali Sina Onder) Journal of
Macroeconomics
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Relative
Price Variability and Inflation:
New Evidence" (with Deniz Baglan and Ege
Yazgan) Journal of
Macroeconomics
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Drivers
of Inflation Convergence across Countries: The Role of Standard Gravity
Variables" Macroeconomic Dynamics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Unequal
Exchange Rate
Pass-Through across Income Groups" Macroeconomic
Dynamics
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "The
Great
Trade Collapse: An Evaluation of Competing Stories"
Macroeconomic
Dynamics
Blog
Post
VOX
Column
Summary
Slides
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Drivers of International Fiscal
Spillovers" Economics & Politics
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Geopolitical Risk and Stock Prices" European Journal of Political
Economy
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Geopolitical
Risk, Supply Chains, and Global Inflation"
(with Omid Asadollah, Linda Carmy and Md. Rezwanul Hoque) The World Economy
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Welfare
Costs of COVID-19:
Evidence from U.S. Counties" Journal of Regional Science
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Agglomeration
and Trade: State-Level Evidence
from U.S. Industries" Journal of Regional Science
Blog Post
Summary
Slides
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "International Spillovers of Conventional versus Unconventional U.S. Monetary Policy"
International Finance
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Global versus Domestic Supply Chain Disruptions: Implications for Inflation and Economic Confidence"
International Finance
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Inflation
Convergence over Time: Sector-Level Evidence within Europe"
International Finance
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Welfare
Costs of Bilateral
Currency Crises: The Role of International Trade" International Finance
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Pass-through
of
Trade Costs to
U.S. Import Prices" Review of
World Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "The
Role of Direct Flights in Trade Costs" (with Demet
Yilmazkuday) Review of
World Economics
Blog
Post
Summary Slides
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through" Review of International
Economics
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Pass-Through
of Shocks into Different U.S. Prices" Review of International
Economics
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "A
Solution to the Missing
Globalization Puzzle by Non-CES Preferences" Review of
International Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Mismeasurement
of Distance Effects: The Role
of Internal Location of Production"
Review
of International Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Bilateral
versus Multilateral Free Trade Agreements: A Welfare Analysis"
(with
Demet Yilmazkuday) Review
of International Economics
Blog
Post
Summary
Slides
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Drivers of Income Growth
Inequality" Review of Development Economics
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Government
Consumption, Government Debt and
Economic Growth"
(with Shahrzad Ghourchian) Review of
Development Economics
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Unequal Inflationary Effects of Tariffs across Socio-Demographic Groups" International Economics and Economic Policy
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Drivers of Credit and Debit Card Transactions" Review of Financial Economics
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Geopolitical Risks and
Cryptocurrency Returns" Review of Financial Economics
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Energy Security and Economic Growth: The Role of Geopolitical Tensions" (with Khandaker Jahangir Alam and Aida Ashtari Nakhaee) Energy
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Uneven
Effects of Monetary Policy: Sectoral Disparities in Credit Card Spending" Central Bank Review
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Navigating Geopolitical Risks: Shipping Costs and Policy Implications" Maritime Policy & Management
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Expected versus Unexpected Inflation: The Role of Trade Policy" North American Journal of Economics and Finance
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "High
versus Low Inflation: Implications on Price-Level Convergence"
(with
Ege Yazgan) Empirical
Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Estimating
the Trade Elasticity over Time" Economics Letters
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Price
Dispersion across U.S. Districts of Entry"
Economics
Letters
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Business
Cycles through International Shocks: A
Structural Investigation" Economics
Letters
Blog
Post
Summary
Slides
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Price-Level
Convergence:
New Evidence from U.S. Cities" (with Ege Yazgan) Economics
Letters
Blog
Post
Summary
Slides
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Monetary
Policy and
Credit Cards: Evidence from a Small-Open Economy"
Economic
Modelling
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "An
Analysis of Regime Shifts in the Turkish
Economy"
(with Koray
Akay) Economic
Modelling
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Constant
versus Variable Markups:
Implications for the Law of One Price" International
Review of Economics
and Finance
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Importer-Specific
Elasticities of
Demand: Evidence from U.S. Exports" International
Review of Economics
and Finance
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Welfare
Costs of Urban Traffic
through Retail Prices" Transport Policy
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Coronavirus Disease 2019 and the
Global Economy" Transport Policy
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Profit
Margins in U.S. Domestic
Airline Routes" Transport Policy
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Shock-Dependent Phillips Curve: Evidence from the U.S" Pacific Economic Review
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Institutional Quality" Borsa Istanbul Review
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Geopolitical Tensions and Trade: Mitigating through Partner Diversification" Journal
of Economics and Business
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Asymmetric
Incidence of Sales
Taxes: A Short-Run Investigation of Gasoline Prices" Journal
of Economics and Business
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Drivers
of Turkish Inflation" Quarterly Review of Economics
and Finance
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Can
Inflation Targeting Regimes be
Effective in Developing Countries? The Turkish Experience" (with Ali Kutan and Cem Akyurek) Journal of Asian Economics
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Forecasting
the Great Trade
Collapse" International
Economics
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Drivers of Growth Spillovers"
Economic Systems
Published Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Inflation,
Financial Development, and Growth: A Trilateral Analysis" (with
Peter L.
Rousseau)
Economic Systems
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Spatial
Dispersion of Retail Margins: Evidence from Turkish Agricultural Prices"
Agricultural Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Gains
from Domestic versus International Trade: Evidence from the U.S." Journal of International
Trade & Economic Development
Blog
Post
Summary Slides
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Welfare
Implications of Solving
the Distance Puzzle: Global Evidence from the Last Two Centuries"
Journal of International
Trade & Economic Development
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Gravity
Channels in Trade" (with Yulin Hou and Yun
Wang) Journal of International
Trade & Economic Development
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Individual
Tax Rates and Regional Tax Revenues: A Cross-State Analysis" Regional
Studies
Blog
Post
Media Coverage
Summary
Slides
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth" International Economic Journal
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Unequal
Welfare
Gains from Trade across Countries: The Role of Aggregation and Income
Elasticities" International Economic Journal
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Protectionism, Competitiveness
and Inequality: Cross-Country Evidence from Soccer" International Economic Journal
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Drivers
of Global Trade: A Product-Level Investigation" International Economic Journal
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Decomposing
the Gains from Trade
through the Standard Gravity Variables" International
Economic Journal
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Inflation
Thresholds and Growth" International Economic Journal
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Geographical
Dispersion of Consumer Search Behavior" Applied
Economics
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Inflation
Targeting, Flexible Exchange Rates and Inflation Convergence" Applied
Economics
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Inflation
Targeting
Supported by Managed Exchange Rate" Applied
Economics
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Effects
of Credit and
Debit Cards on the Currency Demand"
(with Ege Yazgan), Applied Economics
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "COVID-19
Effects on the
S&P 500 Index" Applied Economics Letters
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Daily
Exchange
Rate Pass-Through into Micro Prices"
(with Renzo Alvarez,
Amin Shoja and Syed Uddin) Applied Economics Letters
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "The
Effects of Currency Crises on the
Long-Run Growth"
Applied
Economics Letters
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Monetary
Policy Rules in
Practice: Evidence from Turkey and Israel" (with Ege Yazgan) Applied
Financial Economics
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Financial
Health and The Intensive Margin of
Trade" (with Deniz Baglan) Emerging
Markets
Finance and Trade
Blog
Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "The
Effects of Currency Crises in Emerging Markets on the Industrial
Sector: An Alternative Regime-Shifting Approach" Emerging
Markets Finance and Trade
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Structural
Breaks in Monetary
Policy Rules:
Evidence from Transition Countries"
Emerging
Markets Finance and Trade
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Welfare
Costs of Travel Reductions within the U.S. due to COVID-19"
Regional
Science, Policy and Practice
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "COVID-19
and Unequal Social
Distancing across Demographic Groups" Regional Science, Policy and
Practice
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "COVID-19 and Housing Prices:
Evidence from U.S. County-Level Data" Review of Regional Research
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "How
Wide is the Border
across U.S. States?" Letters in Spatial and
Resource
Sciences
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Okun's
Convergence within the U.S." (with Ege Yazgan) Letters in Spatial and
Resource Sciences
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Artificial Intelligence and Labor Markets: Evidence from Google Trends" Journal of Economics and
Finance
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Inflation
and Growth: The Role of Institutions" Journal of Economics and
Finance
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Welfare Costs of Shopping Trips" The Annals of Regional Science
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Understanding
Gasoline Price
Dispersion" (with Demet Yilmazkuday) The Annals
of Regional Science
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "COVID-19
and Exchange Rates:
Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy" Atlantic Economic Journal
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "A
Political Economy Analysis of Changes and Continuities in Iran-Africa
Trade Relations: A Case of South-South Dependency?"
(with Eric Lob) Review of Social Economy
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Inflation
Dynamics of Turkey: A Structural Estimation" (with Ege Yazgan)
Studies
in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
Summary
Slides
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Nonlinear
Effects of Mobility on COVID-19 in the U.S.: Targeted Lockdowns Based
on Income and Poverty" Journal of Economic Studies
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Specialization,
Field Distance
and Quality in
Economists' Collaborations"
(with Ali Sina Onder and Sascha Schweitzer) Journal of Informetrics
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Thirty-Five
Years of Peer-Reviewed Publishing by North American Economics PhDs:
Quantity, Quality, and Beyond"
(with Ali Sina Onder) Open
Economics
VOX
Column
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Stay-at-Home Works to Fight
Against COVID-19: International Evidence from Google Mobility Data" Journal of Human Behavior in
the Social Environment
Blog Post
Media Coverage #1
Media
Coverage #2
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Fighting Against COVID-19
Requires Wearing a Face Mask by Not Some but All" Transportation Research
Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Blog Post
Media
Coverage
Published Version
Working
Paper Version
- "COVID-19
Spread and Inter-County
Travel: Daily Evidence from the U.S." Transportation Research
Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "U.S. Tariffs and Stock Prices" Finance Research Letters
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "Geopolitical Risks and Exchange Rates" Finance Research Letters
Published
Version
Working
Paper Version
- "COVID-19
and Monetary Policy with
Zero Bounds: A Cross-Country Investigation" Finance Research Letters
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Unequal
Unemployment Effects of
COVID-19 and Monetary Policy across U.S. States" Journal of Behavioral
Economics for Policy
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Money
Shocks and Output:
A Contemporary Money Demand Approach"
Empirical
Economics Letters
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "The
IS Puzzle and Relative Risk Aversion in
Turkey" (with Ege Yazgan)
Empirical Economics Letters
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Productivity
Cycles in
Public and Private Manufacturing Sectors: Evidence from Turkey" International
Journal of Applied Economics
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Twin
Crises in Turkey: A
Comparison of Currency Crisis Models" European Journal of
Comparative Economics
Published Version
Working Paper Version
- "Anti-Crime
Laws and
Retail Prices" Review of
Law and Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "COVID-19
and Daily Oil Price
Pass-Through"
Energy Research Letters
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Redistributive
Effects of Gasoline Prices"
(with Demet Yilmazkuday) Networks and Spatial Economics
Blog
Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Changes
in Consumption in the Early COVID-19 Era: Zip-Code Level Evidence from
the U.S." Journal of Risk and Financial
Management
Blog Post
Published
Version
Working Paper Version
- "Unequal
Welfare Costs of Staying
at Home across Socioeconomic and Demographic Groups"
International
Journal of Urban Sciences
Blog Post
Published Version
Working Paper Version
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